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아래와 같이 세미나를 개최하오니 많이 참석해 주시기 바랍니다. 아 래 제목: How can population pyramids be used to explore the past? 연사: Prof. Bertrand Roehner (University of Paris) 일시: 2010년 10월 15일(금) 오후 3시 장소: 제1과학관 e+강의실(31214호실) 강연문의: 김범준 초록: How many lives did the civil war in Jiangxi (1927-1936) cost? Nobody knows because in the 1930s there were no reliable censuses and the Kuomintang Government did not keep a count. This is only one example. Many historical events such as major wars, insurrections or revolutions occur amid periods of great turmoil during which governmental statistical agencies cannot work properly or cannot work at all. As a result, historians are unable to estimate the demographical impact of such events in terms of death toll, extent of migration or birth rate changes. One possible solution to this problem is to analyze population pyramids based on censuses conducted 20 or 50 years later at a time when the normal work of statistical agencies has been resumed. This approach is similar to the one used in the study of tree rings (a field called dendrochonology) which gives an insight into weather conditions during former centuries. This lecture explains our methodological ideas and illustrates them through specific examples.
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